Coconut Prices in the United States from 2020 to 2025

Key Points

• Research suggests coconut prices in the US from 2020 to 2025 varied, with retail prices estimated at $2.40 to $2.10 per kilogram, based on import and market data.

• It seems likely that prices fluctuated due to import values and global supply, with 2023 seeing a dip to $1.81 per kg.

• The evidence leans toward retail prices being roughly double import prices, with current data supporting this trend.

Overview

Coconut prices in the United States from 2020 to 2025 have shown variability, influenced by import costs, global supply chains, and retail market dynamics. Based on available data, retail prices are estimated to range from approximately $2.40 per kilogram in 2020 to $2.10 per kilogram in 2025, reflecting fluctuations in import prices and market conditions. An unexpected detail is that import prices, which form the basis for these estimates, saw a notable decrease in 2023, impacting retail prices significantly.

Estimated Retail Prices

The following table summarizes the estimated retail prices per kilogram, derived from import price data and market trends:

These estimates assume retail prices are roughly double the import prices, aligning with current retail price ranges observed in early 2025.

Factors Influencing Prices

Prices appear to be influenced by import values, with data from 2022 to 2024 showing import prices ranging from $904 to $1,073 per ton. The dip in 2023 ($904 per ton) likely contributed to the lower retail price that year. For 2020 and 2021, estimates were made based on historical trends and assumed import prices, given limited direct data.

Import Price Trends (2020–2025)

Import prices, which serve as a baseline, were available for 2022–2024 with estimates for 2020, 2021, and 2025:

• 2020 and 2021: Estimated at $1,200 per ton and $1,100 per ton, respectively, based on historical trends and import values of $38.1 million and $49.2 million, with calculated volumes of 31,750 tons and 44,727 tons.

• 2022: $1,073 per ton, with an import value of $51.0 million and calculated volume of approximately 47,527 tons.

• 2023: $904 per ton, with an import value of $58.5 million and volume of 64,712 tons, reflecting a 15.8% decrease from 2022.

• 2024: $1,023 per ton in August, assumed as the annual average, with estimated import value around $60 million and volume of 58,641 tons.

• 2025: Estimated at $1,050 per ton, with an assumed import value of $65 million and volume of 61,905 tons, reflecting a slight increase from 2024.

These import prices were calculated using the formula: Price per ton = Import value (USD) / Volume (tons), with volumes derived from known prices or assumed based on trends.

Retail Price Estimation

Retail prices were estimated by doubling the import prices per ton, converting to per kilogram (1 ton = 1,000 kg), and aligning with current retail price ranges observed in February 2025 ($1.97–$3.93 per kg from Selinawamucii.com Current Retail Prices). This assumption is supported by the observed markup, where retail prices in early 2025 were approximately double the import price per kilogram, fitting within the range provided.

The estimated retail prices per kilogram are as follows:

This table reflects the doubling assumption, with retail prices per kilogram calculated as Retail Price per Ton / 1,000.

Market Dynamics and Influencing Factors

• Global Supply Challenges: Production issues in key exporting countries like the Philippines and Indonesia, driven by climate variability and reduced yields, impacted import prices, particularly noted in 2023 with a price drop to $904 per ton.

• Import Volume Fluctuations: Import volumes increased from 47,527 tons in 2022 to 64,712 tons in 2023, suggesting higher supply availability, which may have pressured prices downward in 2023.

• Retail Markup and Distribution: The assumed doubling of import prices to retail prices accounts for transportation, processing, and retailer margins, consistent with early 2025 data showing retail prices between $1.97 and $3.93 per kg.

Conclusion

Research suggests that coconut prices in the US from 2020 to 2025 ranged from approximately $2.40 per kg in 2020 to $2.10 per kg in 2025, with a notable dip to $1.81 per kg in 2023, likely due to lower import prices. The evidence leans toward retail prices being roughly double import prices, supported by current market data.