Green Grapes Prices in the United States from 2020 to 2025

Key Points

• Retail prices for green grapes have fluctuated due to supply, demand, and economic factors like inflation and production costs.

• Historical data shows a general upward trend from 2020 to 2023, with estimates for 2024 and 2025 based on observed patterns and market insights.

• Prices are for Thompson Seedless grapes, a widely tracked green grape variety, and are averaged across U.S. cities.

Detailed Analysis

2020: $2.20 per Pound

• Data from the BLS and Statista indicate that the retail price for Thompson Seedless grapes hovered around $2.20 per pound in 2020. This reflects a year of relative stability despite COVID-19-related supply chain challenges. Production remained consistent, with the U.S. growing nearly 7.4 million tons of grapes, supporting steady retail pricing.

2021: $2.24 per Pound

• The BLS reported an average retail price of $2.24 per pound for Thompson Seedless grapes in 2021. This modest increase (about 1.8%) aligns with a gradual recovery in demand and slight inflationary pressures. The price remained lower than the 2009 peak of $3.14 per pound, suggesting a tempered market response to economic shifts.

2022: $2.35 per Pound 

• Exact annual data for 2022 is less comprehensive, but an estimated increase to $2.35 per pound is reasonable based on trends from prior years and market reports. Inflation began accelerating in 2022, impacting agricultural inputs and transportation costs. Production challenges in California, including weather events, likely contributed to a tighter supply of table grapes, nudging retail prices upward.

2023: $2.45 per Pound

• For 2023, an estimated price of $2.45 per pound reflects continued inflationary pressure and a reported grape production value of $5.91 billion (USDA). Increased import volumes from countries like Chile and Peru (752,000 tons total) may have moderated price spikes, but domestic retail costs likely rose due to higher labor and fuel expenses. This estimate assumes a roughly 4% annual increase, consistent with food price inflation trends.

2024: $2.55 per Pound 

• Projecting into 2024, a price of $2.55 per pound is based on an anticipated California table grape harvest of 94.4 million 19-pound boxes (slightly below the 2020-2022 average). Rising production costs and sustained consumer demand for fresh fruit suggest a continued upward trend. Market insights indicate that green grape varieties, like Autumn King, maintained popularity, supporting price stability with modest growth.

2025: $2.65 per Pound

• As of March 5, 2025, only partial data is available, making this a projection. Assuming a consistent annual increase of around 4%—driven by ongoing economic factors and a stable supply forecast—a price of $2.65 per pound is plausible. Early 2025 market conditions, including potential oversupply from late 2024 harvests, could temper this rise, but consumer-level prices typically lag wholesale adjustments.

Additional Insights

• Seasonal Variations: Prices often peak in late fall (e.g., November 2020 at $2.02 per pound per NASS, equivalent to over $4 per ton retail) and dip mid-year, influencing annual averages.

• Supply Factors: Imports from Peru and Chile, alongside California’s dominance, stabilize supply but introduce competition that affects pricing.

• Consumer Trends: Green grapes have gained popularity over red varieties in recent years, potentially supporting higher retail prices for varieties like Autumn King.