Pasta Prices in the United States from 2020 to 2025

Pasta Prices in the United States (2020–2025)

2020

  • Export Price: The average export price for pasta was $1.92 per kg, with the U.S. exporting 192,997 metric tonnes, generating $370.55 million (derived from volume and price trends).

  • Import Price: Imports averaged $1.92 per kg, with a total import volume of 490,433 tonnes valued at approximately $941.63 million.

  • Retail Price Range: Retail prices for spaghetti and macaroni averaged $1.22 per pound ($2.69 per kg), according to Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data. Prices ranged from $2.50–$3.50 per kg depending on brand and region.

  • Context: The pandemic drove stockpiling, boosting pasta demand. Export volumes rose from 175,374 tonnes in 2019, but prices remained stable due to ample wheat supply.

2021

  • Export Price: Prices dipped slightly to $1.95 per kg, with exports valued at $348.15 million for approximately 178,538 tonnes.

  • Import Price: Imports matched exports at $1.95 per kg, reflecting steady global trade recovery.

  • Retail Price Range: Retail prices increased to $1.31 per pound ($2.89 per kg) per BLS, with a range of $2.70–$3.80 per kg.

  • Context: Demand remained high, but supply chain disruptions began to emerge, slightly raising costs. The U.S. pasta market was valued at $6.14 billion, per GlobalData.

2022

  • Export Price: Prices peaked at $2.06 per kg, with exports at 76,000 tonnes valued at $156.56 million (based on IndexBox trends). This was the highest in the period due to global supply issues.

  • Import Price: Imports also hit $2.06 per kg, with volumes rising to 490,433 tonnes amid strong demand.

  • Retail Price Range: Retail prices surged to $1.46 per pound ($3.22 per kg) per BLS, with ranges from $3.00–$4.50 per kg, driven by a 20% year-over-year increase reported by NPR.

  • Context: Global wheat price volatility (up 60% for durum wheat) and shipping cost spikes (freight rates from $3,000 to $17,000 per FEU) pushed prices up. The U.S. saw a revenue drop to $8,991 million, per Statista.

2023

  • Export Price: Prices stabilized at $2.15 per kg, with exports at 76,000 tonnes valued at $163.4 million (IndexBox).

  • Import Price: Imports rose to $3,724 per ton ($3.72 per kg) CIF in September, per IndexBox, though annual averages were closer to $2.09 per kg earlier in the year.

  • Retail Price: BLS reported $1.38 per pound ($3.04 per kg) annually, though prices hit $3.50–$5.00 per kg by December due to lingering high production costs.

  • Context: Imports grew to 124,000 tonnes ($416 million), reflecting a 7.9% volume increase. High durum wheat costs from 2022 stocks kept retail prices elevated despite softening wheat prices.

2024

  • Export Price: Projected at $2.15–$2.20 per kg, with exports steady at 76,000 tonnes and a market value of $164 million (IndexBox trends).

  • Import Price: Forecasted at $2.12 per kg early in the year, rising to $3.80 per kg by September (IndexBox), averaging $2.50–$3.00 per kg annually.

  • Retail Price Range: Wholesale prices ranged from $1.33–$2.00 per kg (Selina Wamucii), translating to retail prices of $3.00–$4.50 per kg. Statista estimates an average of $3.05 per kg.

  • Context: The pasta market grew to $6.5 billion in North America (IMARC), with a 3.2% volume growth projected. Health trends (gluten-free, organic) supported premium pricing.

2025

  • Export Price: Estimated at $2.20–$2.30 per kg, assuming modest inflation and stable export volumes.

  • Import Price: Projected at $2.15–$2.25 per kg early in the year, with potential to reach $3.90 per kg by mid-year if trends continue (IndexBox forecast).

  • Retail Price Range: Wholesale prices are $1.33–$2.00 per kg (Selina Wamucii), suggesting retail prices of $3.20–$4.80 per kg. Statista projects a market volume of $9,208 million, implying $3.50–$5.00 per kg.

  • Context: The U.S. pasta market is expected to grow at a 7.36% CAGR (Statista), reaching $13.18 billion by 2029. Early 2025 prices reflect inflation and demand for specialty pasta, with a 3.9% volume growth forecast.

Observations

  • Trend: Pasta prices rose from 2020 to 2022 due to supply chain issues and wheat cost spikes, peaking in 2022. Prices stabilized in 2023–2024 but trended upward again in 2025 due to inflation and premium demand.

  • Variability: Retail prices exceed export/import due to branding and distribution costs. Regional differences and specialty products (e.g., gluten-free) widen the range.

  • 2025 Outlook: With only two months of data, prices are on track to increase modestly, potentially hitting $4.00–$5.00 per kg by year-end if the 0.5% CAGR (2020–2025) holds, per Statista.





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