Key Points
- Research suggests persimmon prices in the US have varied from 2020 to 2025, with export and import prices showing gradual increases.
- It seems likely that export prices ranged from about $1.96 to $2.73 per kg, while import prices ranged from $1.84 to $2.47 per kg, based on available market data.
- The evidence leans toward prices being influenced by global trade trends, with some uncertainty for 2024 and 2025 due to limited recent data.
Export Prices
Persimmon export prices in the US have shown a general upward trend from 2020 to 2023, with data suggesting:
- 2020: Approximately $2.07 per kg
- 2021: Approximately $2.27 per kg
- 2022: Approximately $2.27 per kg (projected)
- 2023: Approximately $2.47 per kg (projected)
For 2024 and 2025, estimates based on historical growth rates suggest:
- 2024: Approximately $2.60 per kg
- 2025: Approximately $2.73 per kg
These figures are based on market reports and trends, with some uncertainty due to limited data beyond 2023.
Import Prices
Persimmon import prices into the US have also increased steadily, with available data indicating:
- 2020: Approximately $1.96 per kg
- 2021: Approximately $2.07 per kg
- 2022: Approximately $2.27 per kg (predicted)
- 2023: Approximately $2.37 per kg (predicted)
For 2024 and 2025, projections based on trends suggest:
- 2024: Approximately $2.47 per kg
- 2025: Estimates are less certain, but likely around $2.59 per kg, given historical patterns.
These estimates reflect market analyses, with potential variations due to global supply and demand dynamics.
Background and Market Context
Persimmons, primarily of the Asian variety (Diospyros kaki), are cultivated in the US, with significant production in California, Florida, and Texas. The US market for persimmons involves both domestic production and international trade, with exports mainly to Canada and Mexico, and imports from countries like Spain, Israel, and Chile. The period from 2020 to 2025 has seen fluctuations influenced by global demand, production volumes, and economic factors, including potential impacts from tariffs and climate conditions.
Export Prices: Historical Data and Projections
Export prices for persimmons from the US have shown a consistent upward trend, based on data from market reports such as those from Selinawamucii.com. The following table summarizes the export prices per kilogram from 2020 to 2023, with projections for 2024 and 2025 based on historical growth rates:
The growth rate assumption of 5% per year for 2024 and 2025 is derived from recent trends, where prices increased by approximately 8.8% from 2022 to 2023 (from $2.27 to $2.47). This reflects a robust demand for US persimmons in international markets, particularly Canada, which dominates export value shares.
Import Prices: Historical Data and Projections
Import prices into the US have also shown a steady increase, with data from Selinawamucii.com providing insights for the period up to 2023, and predictions extending to 2024. The following table details the import prices per kilogram:
The import price predictions for 2024 and 2025 are based on a conservative growth rate of 4% per year, aligning with historical increases observed from 2017 to 2023, where prices rose by about 27% over six years, averaging around 4% annually. Key suppliers like Spain, Israel, and Chile have influenced these prices, with Spain showing significant growth in import volumes over the period.
Market Trends and Influencing Factors
The US persimmon market experienced mixed dynamics from 2020 to 2023. In 2020, exports totaled 4,465 tonnes, slightly down from 4,570 tonnes in 2019, but export values grew, reflecting rising prices per kilogram. By 2023, the market value dropped to $5.3 million, a 9.8% decline from the previous year, despite resilient consumption growth historically peaking at $7.2 million in 2017. Exports in 2023 saw a volume jump, driven primarily by shipments to Canada.
Imports surged in value in 2023, with Spain, Israel, and Chile as main suppliers, together comprising a significant share. Additionally, global market reports, such as from Mordor Intelligence, project the persimmon market to reach $5.15 billion in 2025, growing at a CAGR of 3.1% to $6.01 billion by 2030, suggesting continued demand that could support stable or increasing prices.
Estimates for 2024 and 2025
For 2024 and 2025, estimates were derived by applying historical growth rates to the last known data points. For export prices, a 5% annual increase was assumed based on recent trends (e.g., 8.8% from 2022 to 2023), leading to projections of approximately $2.60 per kg in 2024 and $2.73 per kg in 2025. For import prices, a 4% annual growth rate was used, resulting in projections of approximately $2.47 per kg in 2024 and $2.59 per kg in 2025. These estimates acknowledge uncertainty, as they rely on trends and may be affected by factors like tariffs, weather, and economic conditions, especially given recent policy changes under the Trump administration affecting import costs.
Conclusion
In summary, persimmon prices in the US from 2020 to 2025 show a pattern of gradual increases for both exports and imports, with export prices ranging from about $2.07 to $2.73 per kg and import prices from $1.96 to $2.59 per kg, based on available data and projections. These figures reflect market dynamics influenced by global trade, production, and consumption trends, with some uncertainty for the later years due to limited recent data.
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